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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Kansas City O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • With a terrific 8.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Kareem Hunt places as one of the best pass-catching RBs in football in the open field.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In regards to air yards, Kareem Hunt ranks in the paltry 9th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -3.0 per game.
  • Kareem Hunt's 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a noteable decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 86.2% figure.
  • Kareem Hunt's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, totaling a measly 4.83 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.87 rate last year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 7th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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