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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kareem Hunt's 8.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 16.0 rate.
  • Kareem Hunt's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.3% to 73.8%.
  • Kareem Hunt's pass-game efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a measly 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.88 mark last year.
  • Kareem Hunt's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a remarkable reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 9.4% figure.
  • This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has given up a feeble 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-best in the league.

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