Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 26, 2025 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-109/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kansas City Chiefs will be forced to start backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Chiefs are a massive 13.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 65.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see 133.1 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chiefs this year (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

Favors Under

Kareem Hunt's 8.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 16.0 rate.
Kareem Hunt's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.3% to 73.8%.
Kareem Hunt's pass-game efficiency has diminished this year, totaling a measly 6.02 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.88 mark last year.
Kareem Hunt's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a remarkable reduction in his effectiveness in space over last year's 9.4% figure.
This year, the formidable Denver Broncos defense has given up a feeble 29.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 10th-best in the league.

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