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Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-106/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.

The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

This year, the poor Tennessee Titans defense has conceded the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a massive 7.20 yards.

The Tennessee Titans safeties rank as the 8th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Kareem Hunt's 9.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 16.0 mark.

Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 86.3% to 73.7%.

Kareem Hunt's 6.0 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a meaningful regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 7.9 rate.

More Kareem Hunt Player Props

Kareem Hunt Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16