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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see just 128.0 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Kareem Hunt has accumulated substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (8.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
  • Kareem Hunt's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, averaging a mere 6.17 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.87 figure last season.
  • Kareem Hunt's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material diminishment in his effectiveness in space over last year's 9.4% mark.

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