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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Kareem Hunt has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
  • Kareem Hunt's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a measly 5.80 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.87 rate last year.
  • Kareem Hunt's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 9.39 rate last season.

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