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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-104/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this season, playing on just 40.4% of snaps vs 51.7% last season.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • Kareem Hunt's 7.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season reflects an impressive regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 16.0 figure.
  • Kareem Hunt's 6.7 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a significant regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 7.9 figure.
  • Kareem Hunt's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a material reduction in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 9.4% figure.
  • This year, the fierce Broncos defense has allowed a puny 74.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 4th-lowest rate in football.

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