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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chiefs to pass on 64.8% of their chances: the greatest clip on the slate this week.
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL last year.
  • With a terrific 7.9 adjusted yards per target (79th percentile) last year, Kareem Hunt has been as one of the top RB receiving threats in the NFL.
  • With a stellar 9.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (78th percentile) last year, Kareem Hunt ranks as one of the leading pass-catching RBs in the NFL in space.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3 points.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kareem Hunt grades out in the measly 8th percentile among RBs last year, accruing just -3.0 per game.
  • Last year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 77.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.
  • Last year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing RBs: a mere 4.8 yards.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been excellent last year, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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