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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • While Kareem Hunt has been responsible for 30.0% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Kansas City's run game in this game at 47.9%.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 37.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

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