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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chiefs are anticipated by the projection model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chiefs to run on 39.2% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (43.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (60.4%).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Houston's collection of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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