Kalif Raymond Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2025

Updated Sep 23, 2025 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+820/-1000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.8 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond places among the wideouts with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL.
Kalif Raymond slots into just the 25th percentile for wide receiver WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) with a poor 14.5 figure since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.6%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (63.6%).