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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+850/-1500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1450 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1500.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • With a remarkable 81.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (88th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond stands among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • With a poor 2.6% Red Zone Target Rate (24th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond rates as one of the wide receivers with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kalif Raymond grades out in the paltry 20th percentile among wideouts this year, averaging just 12.0 per game.
  • Kalif Raymond's 12.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 23rd percentile for wideouts.

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