Kalif Raymond Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 26, 2025 12:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-213).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
With a remarkable 81.9% Adjusted Catch Rate (88th percentile) this year, Kalif Raymond stands among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.
The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 10th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Kalif Raymond's 12.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the NFL: 23rd percentile for wideouts.
The Lions O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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