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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Kalif Raymond's 47.1% Route Participation Rate this year marks a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last year's 32.9% figure.
  • Kalif Raymond comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an impressive 75.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The New York cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

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