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Kalif Raymond
NFL · Player Props
Kalif Raymond
WR · Detroit Lions
Receptions
New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2022 Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC
NFL Props Kalif Raymond Receptions

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+143/-197).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -197.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.63 seconds per snap.
  • The New England Patriots defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 8th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.
  • The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in football), which generally means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Kalif Raymond has gone out for fewer passes this season (27.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (77.6%).
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has yielded the 4th-lowest Completion% in football (59.7%) versus WRs this year (59.7%).
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