Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-112).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Since the start of last season, the porous Bears defense has allowed the 7th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 8.63 yards.
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Chicago's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, projecting as the 8th-worst in the NFL.
Favors Under
With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.
Kalif Raymond's 15.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 25th percentile for wide receivers.