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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Kalif Raymond's 47.1% Route Participation Rate this year marks a meaningful boost in his air attack volume over last year's 32.9% figure.
  • Kalif Raymond comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an impressive 75.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • This year, the shaky Giants defense has yielded a whopping 163.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Kalif Raymond has totaled a meager 9.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile among wide receivers.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • Kalif Raymond profiles as one of the bottom WRs in the league this year, averaging a lowly 15.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 24th percentile when it comes to WRs.

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