Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+109/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kalif Raymond's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 67.5% to 75.0%.
Kalif Raymond's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, averaging 9.61 yards-per-target vs a measly 7.63 rate last season.
Kalif Raymond's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this season, compiling 7.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 4.04 figure last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 58.1% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.
Kalif Raymond has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).
Kalif Raymond's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 35.3.

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