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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions

Kalif Raymond Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+358/-706).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -658 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -706.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (9.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.7% in games he has played).

Kalif Raymond's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 67.5% to 75.0%.

The New York Giants linebackers project as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: 9th-least in football.

Kalif Raymond has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (38.0 per game) than he did last season (45.0 per game).

Kalif Raymond's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 35.3.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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