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Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Kadarius Toney's 16.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 0.0 figure.
  • With an excellent 6.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (93rd percentile) this year, Kadarius Toney ranks as one of the best WRs in the game in football in space.
  • The Broncos pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.1%) to wideouts this year (76.1%).
  • This year, the weak Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a massive 5.57 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.
  • With a top-tier 26.3% Route% (25th percentile) this year, Kadarius Toney ranks as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • Kadarius Toney has put up a mere 10.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 22nd percentile when it comes to WRs.

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