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Kadarius Toney

Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kadarius Toney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Kadarius Toney has run a route on 20.1% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile among WRs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Kadarius Toney ranks in the lowly 14th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accruing just 8.0 per game.
  • Kadarius Toney has been among the bottom pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a measly 3.0 yards per game while ranking in the 1st percentile among WRs.

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