My Account Log Out

reorder

Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-280).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.9 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

With an elite 18.2% Red Zone Target Share (87th percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson stands among the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-focused team in football (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.

Juwan Johnson's 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 76.7% figure.

This year, the stout Giants defense has allowed a puny 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

This year, the weak New York Giants run defense has given up a monstrous 1.50 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in the league.

The Giants safeties project as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

More Juwan Johnson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™