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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+230/-285).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -265 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -285.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • With an extraordinary 16.7% Red Zone Target% (83rd percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson ranks among the tight ends with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.
  • Juwan Johnson has accrued far more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • Juwan Johnson's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 28.0.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the anemic Tennessee Titans run defense has yielded a massive 1.27 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-worst rate in the NFL.

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