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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-485).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -460 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -485.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.8 total plays in this contest: the 7th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • With a high 15.0% Red Zone Target Rate (81st percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson ranks as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in football (56.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Juwan Johnson's 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.7% mark.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in football.

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