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Juwan Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-420).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -420 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -420.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.

With a high 15.8% Red Zone Target Share (81st percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson rates as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

Juwan Johnson has accumulated far more air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

Juwan Johnson's 39.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 28.0.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Juwan Johnson's 72.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a substantial decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 76.7% mark.

More Juwan Johnson Player Props

Juwan Johnson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13