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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-365).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -305 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -365.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 53.7% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run out of all the games this week at 142.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • With an elite 16.7% Red Zone Target% (83rd percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson places as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads near the goal line in the league.
  • After accumulating 31.0 air yards per game last season, Juwan Johnson has shown good development this season, currently sitting at 45.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • Juwan Johnson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 76.7% to 71.5%.
  • This year, the stout Falcons defense has conceded a feeble 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 4th-lowest rate in football.
  • This year, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has surrendered a paltry 0.10 passing touchdowns per game to opposing TEs: the smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles project as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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