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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Saints, who are massive -14-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have 141.0 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a colossal 60.0 per game on average).
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Juwan Johnson's 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 76.7% mark.
  • This year, the fierce Rams defense has allowed a paltry 72.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 10th-lowest rate in football.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the 4th-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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