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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Juwan Johnson is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.
  • Juwan Johnson's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 28.0.
  • The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

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