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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+160/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 130.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The 10th-most plays in football have been called by the New Orleans Saints this year (a colossal 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • The predictive model expects Juwan Johnson to accumulate 6.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
  • Juwan Johnson's 39.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 28.0.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (55.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles grade out as the 8th-best group of DTs in football this year in regard to pass rush.

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