reorder

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+122/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -5.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The predictive model expects the Saints offense to be the fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 25.62 seconds per snap.

Juwan Johnson's 81.3% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a meaningful improvement in his passing attack workload over last season's 66.6% figure.

The leading projections forecast Juwan Johnson to accrue 5.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

With an excellent 4.1 adjusted catches per game (91st percentile) this year, Juwan Johnson stands among the top tight ends in the pass game in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt decreased passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased ground volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 5th-fewest in the NFL.

Juwan Johnson's 72.9% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a substantial decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 76.7% mark.

More Juwan Johnson Player Props

Juwan Johnson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 13

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13