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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-133/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Saints, who are -5-point underdogs.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Saints are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Juwan Johnson's 81.8% Route Participation% this season marks a substantial progression in his passing game volume over last season's 66.6% rate.
  • The projections expect Juwan Johnson to accrue 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among TEs.
  • Juwan Johnson is positioned as one of the leading pass-game TEs this year, averaging an excellent 3.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 88th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to pass on 54.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Juwan Johnson's 69.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season marks a remarkable reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 76.7% figure.

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