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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Juwan Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Juwan Johnson's 25.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 30.4.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Juwan Johnson's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 67.7% to 56.1%.

The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62.8%) to tight ends this year (62.8%).

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