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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Saints, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Saints as the 9th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 58.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.6 plays per game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Juwan Johnson's 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.7% figure.
  • Juwan Johnson's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a measly 6.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.28 mark last season.
  • Juwan Johnson's skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 rate last year.
  • When it comes to defensive tackles pass-rushing, New England's DT corps has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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