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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.9 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

The projections expect Juwan Johnson to accrue 7.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-focused team in football (58.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.

Juwan Johnson's 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 76.7% figure.

Juwan Johnson's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, notching a mere 6.48 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.28 mark last season.

Juwan Johnson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a material drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 3.9% mark.

This year, the stout Giants defense has allowed a puny 63.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

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