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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-109/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see 139.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a whopping 64.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
  • The projections expect Juwan Johnson to accrue 5.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • While Juwan Johnson has been responsible for 22.3% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in New Orleans's pass game in this contest at 15.8%.
  • Juwan Johnson's 70.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies a noteable regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 76.7% figure.
  • Juwan Johnson's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, notching a mere 6.48 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.28 mark last season.
  • Juwan Johnson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a material drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 3.9% mark.

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