Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Juwan Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Juwan Johnson

TE · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Juwan Johnson is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.
Juwan Johnson has accrued far more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
Juwan Johnson's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 28.0.

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Juwan Johnson's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 rate last year.
This year, the strong Titans defense has given up a feeble 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
The Titans pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs this year, giving up 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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