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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 60.1 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Juwan Johnson is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.0 targets.
  • Juwan Johnson has accrued far more air yards this year (42.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • Juwan Johnson's 38.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 28.0.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to pass on 52.5% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Juwan Johnson's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 rate last year.
  • This year, the strong Titans defense has given up a feeble 47.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 10th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Titans pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. TEs this year, giving up 7.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the league.

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