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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New Orleans Saints vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-999/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -999.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 134.6 total plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
  • The projections expect Juwan Johnson to accumulate 5.9 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
  • After accumulating 31.0 air yards per game last year, Juwan Johnson has been rising this year, currently boasting 41.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Jets, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Juwan Johnson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a material reduction in his efficiency in space over last season's 3.9% figure.
  • This year, the imposing New York Jets defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a paltry 7.3 yards.

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