My Account Log Out
 
 
Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Saints being a giant -8.5-point underdog in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
  • The 7th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • This week, Juwan Johnson is projected by our trusted projection set to land in the 90th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 6.4 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-heavy team in football (56.8% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New Orleans Saints.
  • Juwan Johnson's 72.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year shows an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 76.7% mark.
  • Juwan Johnson's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 figure last season.
  • This year, the imposing Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.9 yards.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™