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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Arizona Cardinals

Juwan Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Saints, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Saints to pass on 59.1% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Juwan Johnson to accumulate 4.2 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL last year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

With a feeble 3.88 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (23rd percentile) last year, Juwan Johnson places among the leading TEs in the pass game in football in picking up extra yardage.

Last year, the tough Cardinals defense has yielded the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a mere 6.9 yards.

Last year, the fierce Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing TEs: a puny 4.5 YAC.

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