Juwan Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-670).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
Juwan Johnson has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).
Juwan Johnson's 24.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 14.2.
Juwan Johnson's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 63.2% to 68.9%.
Juwan Johnson grades out in the 90th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.33 per game.
Favors Under
The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 7th-least passing touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.12 per game this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.