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Juwan Johnson

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

Juwan Johnson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-670).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Juwan Johnson has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (17.0 per game).

Juwan Johnson's 24.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 14.2.

Juwan Johnson's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 63.2% to 68.9%.

Juwan Johnson grades out in the 90th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.33 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 7th-least passing touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.12 per game this year.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 8th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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