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Justin Watson

Justin Watson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Justin Watson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+130/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.5% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has given their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: least in the league.

Justin Watson has been not been very involved his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of just 5.4% this year, which ranks him in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers.

Justin Watson has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 17.0 yards per game while checking in at the 20th percentile among wideouts.

Justin Watson has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 47.0% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 14th percentile among WRs

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