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Justin Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +144 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup quarterback Carson Wentz in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 62.5% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Vikings to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 64.2% red zone pass rate.

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The predictive model expects Justin Jefferson to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this contest (29.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (20.8% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Vikings are expected by the predictive model to run only 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Vikings have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.8 plays per game.

This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a puny 64.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-best rate in football.

This year, the anemic Eagles run defense has conceded a massive 1.33 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 4th-highest rate in the league.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 7

Minnesota Vikings vs Philadelphia Eagles

Justin Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7