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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Justin Jefferson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-255).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -255 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -255.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the most pass-focused team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast Justin Jefferson to be much more involved in his offense's passing offense near the end zone in this game (28.8% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (22.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Justin Jefferson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 68.4% to 59.9%.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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