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Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.

Justin Jefferson has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 30.4% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

The Minnesota offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.

The projections expect the Vikings to call the 7th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Vikings this year (only 52.2 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

Justin Jefferson's 4.4 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a substantial diminishment in his receiving skills over last year's 6.0 figure.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5