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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 65.1 total plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.

The Falcons defense has been a well-known pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 99.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.

In this game, Justin Jefferson is forecasted by the projections to rank in the 100th percentile among wide receivers with 10.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Vikings are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their normal game plan.

With a 51.0% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 4th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL has been the Vikings.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Minnesota Vikings since the start of last season (a measly 56.0 per game on average).

The Atlanta defensive tackles project as the 8th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

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