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Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

With an impressive 97.2% Route Participation% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.

In this game, Justin Jefferson is expected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 95th percentile among WRs with 9.2 targets.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been torched for the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (67.2%) versus wide receivers this year (67.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have just 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Vikings this year (a measly 51.0 per game on average).

Justin Jefferson's receiving skills have diminished this season, averaging a measly 4.2 adjusted catches compared to 6.0 last season.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 18