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Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 97.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

The projections expect Justin Jefferson to notch 10.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).

Justin Jefferson's receiving skills have worsened this year, totaling a mere 4.2 adjusted catches compared to 6.0 last year.

Justin Jefferson's 56.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a significant decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 68.4% figure.

This year, the imposing Lions defense has surrendered a mere 62.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17