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Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-155/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +111 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.1 targets.

The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Justin Jefferson's 4.1 adjusted catches per game this season marks a remarkable decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 6.0 figure.

Justin Jefferson's 55.7% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.4% mark.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 16