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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Justin Jefferson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+111/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Vikings are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Vikings offense to be the 5th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.57 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • With a remarkable 97.2% Route Participation% (99th percentile) this year, Justin Jefferson stands as one of the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • In this game, Justin Jefferson is expected by the model to position himself in the 98th percentile among wideouts with 10.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Justin Jefferson's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 68.4% to 59.9%.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Green Bay's safety corps has been terrific this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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