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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-114/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be rolling out backup QB Carson Wentz in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (63.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.81 seconds per snap.

In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 94th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.3 targets.

Justin Jefferson has been a big part of his team's offense, posting a Target Share of 30.4% this year, which puts him in the 97th percentile among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Opposing teams have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the league.

After accumulating 104.0 air yards per game last year, Justin Jefferson has undergone a big decline this year, now boasting 89.0 per game.

Justin Jefferson has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (89.0).

Justin Jefferson's skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.73 mark last year.

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