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Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (+100/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Vikings, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to pass on 63.2% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Justin Jefferson has run a route on 97.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
  • The projections expect Justin Jefferson to notch 10.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are anticipated by the predictive model to run just 63.2 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-fewest among all teams this week.
  • The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Minnesota Vikings this year (a lowly 51.2 per game on average).
  • Justin Jefferson has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (89.0 per game) than he did last season (104.0 per game).
  • Justin Jefferson's 53.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year signifies a substantial regression in his receiving talent over last year's 89.0 mark.
  • Justin Jefferson's 56.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a significant decrease in his receiving prowess over last year's 68.4% figure.

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