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Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.4 targets.

The Giants defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

This year, the anemic New York Giants defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a monstrous 8.71 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Vikings this year (only 51.1 per game on average).

Justin Jefferson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).

Justin Jefferson's 51.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 89.0 mark.

Justin Jefferson's 55.7% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.4% mark.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16