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Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Justin Jefferson has run a route on 96.8% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

In this week's contest, Justin Jefferson is projected by the projection model to position himself in the 95th percentile when it comes to WRs with 9.1 targets.

The Giants defense has allowed the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (157.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

This year, the anemic New York Giants defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a monstrous 8.72 yards.

The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 7th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Vikings to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 4th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Justin Jefferson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (91.0 per game) than he did last year (104.0 per game).

Justin Jefferson's 51.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year conveys a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 89.0 mark.

More Justin Jefferson Player Props

Justin Jefferson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

New York Giants vs Minnesota Vikings

Justin Jefferson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16